Business Forecasting

Module objectives and intended study results:

The students

  • understand the importance of data analysis for business forecasting,
  • select appropriate forecasting methods in a given context and solve real-life forecasting problems using the software package R and RStudio,
  • are encouraged and empowered to work independently and self-reliantly to solve forecasting problems,
  • develop solutions to small case studies in teams and present their results.

Contents:

Business Forecasting is a challenging process demanding a structured approach. It requires creative thinking and the ability to make appropriate use of the information available, experience of others, and technical arguments to create a computer-based forecasting system that allows management to plan effectively. In this class, we cover various approaches of forecasting: extrapolative methods, causal models, and judgmental methods. We work on real data to develop an understanding, e.g. when to choose which approach and how to deal with outlier data, and we learn how to use computer programs in the forecasting process.

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Language: English

Credits:

Previous Knowledge:

The contents of one of the following modules are recommended:

  • Math and Statistics classes
    • Discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, PDFs, CDFs
    • Frequency tables, expected value, variance, standard deviation, quantiles
    • Normal Distribution
    • Estimation and Confidence Intervals
    • Hypothesis tests and p-values
    • Basic Linear Regression

Credits towards Electives in Master programs:

Registration: Not required.

Next time offered in:  currently not planned

Last Modification: 03.04.2024 - Contact Person: Rainer Kleber